Village Farms (VFF) Announces First Quarter Loss, Exceeds Revenue Estimates


VVillage Farms (VFF) exited with a quarterly loss of $0.07 per share against Zacks consensus estimate of a loss of $0.01. That compares to a loss of $0.07 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.

This quarterly report represents a profit surprise of -600%. A quarter ago, this greenhouse operator was expected to post a profit of $0.02 per share when it was actually producing a profit of $0.03, offering a 50% surprise.

In the past four quarters, the company has exceeded consensus EPS estimates twice.

Village farms, which is part of the Zacks Consumer Products – Staples industry, posted revenue of $70.16 million for the quarter ended March 2022, beating Zacks’ consensus estimate by 0.65%. That compares to revenues of $52.4 million a year ago. The company has exceeded consensus revenue estimates four times in the past four quarters.

The sustainability of the immediate stock price movement based on recently released numbers and future earnings forecasts will primarily depend on management’s comments on the earnings call.

Village Farms shares have lost about 40.2% year-to-date compared to a -16.3% drop for the S&P 500.

What’s next for village farms?

While Village Farms has underperformed the market so far this year, the question on investors’ minds is: what’s next for the stock?

There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable metric that can help investors answer it is the company’s earnings outlook. This includes not only the current consensus earnings expectations for the upcoming quarter(s), but also how those expectations have changed recently.

Empirical research shows a strong correlation between short-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track these revisions on their own or rely on a proven scoring tool like Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions.

Before that Press release, the trend of revisions of estimates for village farms: mixed. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions may change following the release of the company’s earnings report, the current situation translates into a No. 3 (hold) Zacks ranking for the stock. Thus, the shares should move in line with the market in the near future. You can see the full list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

It will be interesting to see how the estimates for the next few quarters and the current fiscal year change in the days ahead. The current consensus EPS estimate is -$0.02 on $84.82 million in revenue for the upcoming quarter and -$0.01 on $321.21 million in revenue for the current fiscal year .

Investors should be aware that the outlook for the sector can also have a significant impact on stock performance. In terms of Zacks industry rankings, Consumer Products – Staples is currently in the bottom 8% of Zacks over 250 industries. Our research shows that the top 50% of industries ranked by Zacks outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1.

Another stock in the same sector, Ollie’s Bargain Outlet (OLLI), has yet to report results for the quarter ending April 2022.

This retailer is expected to post quarterly earnings of $0.32 per share in its next report, representing a year-over-year change of -60%. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter remained unchanged for the past 30 days.

Ollie’s Bargain Outlet revenue is expected to be $421.66 million, down 6.8% from the prior year quarter.

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